Muftic: 2014 election is about the future
This election, 2014, is much more about the next president than it is about the current one. The longer term will have a far greater impact on our country’s direction than the shorter one.
Our vote this November is mostly about what happens in the post-Obama presidency, because those we are electing will influence a very likely Supreme Court vacancy and legislative deadlocks. Any elected senator has six years to warm a Senate seat.
The future Senate will have the opportunity to decide on whatever this court punted, from Roe v Wade, to same-sex marriage, to affirmative action, to election finance laws, to health care and the ACA, and to the overreach and unconstitutionality of actions either by the president or Congress or various states.
Here is the short term. This November election appears to be a referendum on a lame duck president as candidates look like they are rerunning 2012. If the GOP takes over the Senate, we are on track for a mammoth case of deadlock and stalemate for two more years, the remainder of the president’s term.
If we fear the president will become more “imperial,” the only way left for him to overcome stalemate and deadlock is to issue more executive orders. Court challenges for his orders will likely be decided after he leaves office. Since he is term limited, ticking off one special interest, party, or others will not affect his prospects of re-election.
President Obama will only be constrained by concern for his ‘legacy,” and so far he has shown little regard for that. He seems to be doing “what he thinks is right” or is doggedly pursuing the agenda he promised six years ago.
The president will wear out his veto pen if the GOP controls the Senate, but a GOP Senate will not have enough seats to override it. The House is stuck in a role of continued obstructionism, as predictions are the GOP will still hold its majority.
The state of Colorado is not immune to any of this. Colorado governors have four-year terms. For the next four years the Colorado governor will be faced with using vetoes or cheerleadership over a most likely Democratic-controlled state legislature (either one or both of the houses). A governor who cannot compromise or walk a center line, as Gov. Hickenlooper has done, will just put us into a deadlock funk.
His opponent, Bob Beauprez, is running on a platform of trying to overturn or change any environmental or consumer protection law, rule, or regulation that does not favor business interests. Beauprez is no middle of the roader, nor is he one with compromise in mind.
For more, visit http://www.mufticforumblog.blogspot.com.
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